When the Market Volatility Just Gets Too Much to Bear – Check Your Asset Allocation

volatility index5 When the Market Volatility Just Gets Too Much to Bear   Check Your Asset Allocation at vixtrade.com
Scott Keefer asked:


This morning I have read what I feel is a very useful piece on Vanguard’s website – Just when you thought it was safe to go back in the water.

The article gives a brief summary of current happennings on the markets and concludes by asking what action, if any, should investors be taking?

It suggets the following courses of action (directly taken from the article):



Do nothing. Sit it out and wait for the upturn. The beauty of this strategy is that you stay invested so when the market recovers you will benefit from any upturn. History shows us that sharemarkets have suffered many setbacks over the years and recovered to higher heights. Check out Vanguard’s updated interactive index chart for a long-term market perspective.





The truth is there is no right or wrong time to invest and being out of the market can cost vital performance. An AMP Capital report found that investors who stay in the market end up better off than those who flee. In fact, an investor with a $100,000 Australian share portfolio who stayed in the market over the last 10 years to 30 May 2008 would have ended up $179,544 better off than one who missed the best 30 days of sharemarket performance (based on the ASX 200 Accumulation Index to 30 May 2008).





If you have reservations about your investment strategy in the current investment climate it can be well worthwhile seeking the advice of a professional financial adviser. An adviser can sit down with you and talk you about your personal circumstances, investment goals and suggest the most appropriate strategy for your needs. This is especially important if you have a high growth strategy and are finding it difficult to sleep at night.





Drip feed your investments. Part of the beauty of compulsory super is that your money isn’t invested all at once. Rather, a set amount is invested at regular intervals. This strategy, called dollar cost averaging, can help to average out market fluctuations over time. This is a strategy the self-employed can take advantage of as well.





Double check your risk profile. You may find that you overestimated your risk tolerance level when markets were more stable. Steve Utkus says investors can overestimate the odds and become overconfident in rising markets. Risk profiling is best conducted under the guidance of a professional financial adviser.

There is no surprise that I fully concur with the thoughts pointed out by Vanguard.  I particularly like the last point.  Now is the time to be reconsidering your risk profile.  Risk profiling is a difficult task.  When you are asked the question how would you feel if your investments fell by 10,20,30,40% it is difficult to provide an accurate response if you have never experienced such falls.  After 9 months (or more for listed property investors) of really tough conditions the question to be asking yourself is how have you gone handling not only the 25% or more falls on equity markets but also the significant turbulence (volatility)?

If your answer is that you are finding it extremely uncomfortable it may make sense to ease back on your growth asset allocation.  Most likely this will have occurred automatically as growth investment values have fallen and defensive assets remained steady but produced income.  However a decision will need to made when rebalancing your portfolio whether to set your growth assets back at the original percentage level. 

If your portfolio still has too great an exposure to growth assets it may have to be a gradual process to rebalance to a more defensive position as ideally you do not want to be realising losses and then see the market turn back up sharply.  One way would be to make sure you don’t reinvest income and dividends as they come into portfolios, rather set these aside in cash and fixed interest security investments and by doing so rebalance your portfolio towards a more defensive setting.

Please get in touch if you wanted to discuss any of these points in more detail.

Regards,

Scott Keefer

www.acleardirection.com.au





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TODO: Check your Bank Accounts ( Quick ! )

LucidQuest asked:


Quickly close your accounts and invest in a mere solid Entrepreneurship in Shijiazhuang.

Now let’s play Monopoly. No tricks.

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IPO by U.K. buyout firm an ocean apart

It’s enough to make Leon Black, Henry Kravis and Stephen Schwarzman jealous.

UK-based buyout firm Resolution, founded by entrepreneur Clive Cowdery, has not only launched a rare IPO – it raised £600 billion ($889 million) last week- but the deal enjoyed a 15 percent “pop” in its trading debut on the London Stock Exchange Wednesday.

The buyout fund will target U.K. insurance and asset management companies in deals in the range of £3 to 5 billion. And that may be part of why the IPO did well: The U.K. insurance sector has underperformed the market with companies contending with lower valuations.

The deal was only the fifteenth IPO to list in London this year, where new issues in 2008 have raised only $8.9 billion, down 78 percent this year, according to Thomson Reuters data, and the fourth largest. The U.S. market for IPOs is down by about the same for the year.

The deal’s success came in stark contrast to the cold shoulder the IPO market in the U.S. has given financial companies, including private equity firms.

Apollo Management, which used the private placement market in August 2007 to begin trading stocks, filed to transfer its shares to the New York Stock Exchange in April, while Kohlberg Kravis Roberts has postponed its complicated plan to use the Amsterdam-based listing of a subsidiary to list on the NYSE.

But then again, with the performance of rival Blackstone Group – its shares are down 70 percent so far this year, who can blame investors for sitting on the sidelines? And it’s been a brutal year for private equity firms with little improvement in sight.

 IPO by U.K. buyout firm an ocean apart at vixtrade.com  IPO by U.K. buyout firm an ocean apart at vixtrade.com  IPO by U.K. buyout firm an ocean apart at vixtrade.com

 IPO by U.K. buyout firm an ocean apart at vixtrade.com

China shuts PE door on Greenberg

greenbergchina China shuts PE door on Greenberg at vixtrade.com

Happier days for Hank Greenberg, far left, in Hong Kong, 1997

Putting the catastrophe of AIG aside for a moment, it’s hard to imagine what blemishes might have convinced Chinese authorities to shut the door on Hank Greenberg’s plan for China’s first half-foreign-owned private equity venture. Greenberg’s China credentials are legendary, and Beijing wonks say everything that gets done in the People’s Republic does so because of personal connections.

Hank’s investment firm, Starr International, had hoped to start the $145.5 million joint venture with China’s top brokerage, CITIC Securities. Could the problem have been CITIC, and its soiled investment plans in U.S. firms? It came close to dropping $1 billion into Bear Stearns and had $76 million in Lehman Brothers. Sources tell us that Chinese officials did not want to open the door to a rush of foreign private equity investment.

More specifically, one of the sources said: “The regulator doesn’t want to make it a unique case so that other foreign investors take it as a model.” Well, that certainly clears things up.

It’s not that China is opposed to private equity. Officials want to develop yuan-denominated funds run by domestic managers, to reduce companies’ dependence on bank financing.

But with private equity getting such bad press in the U.S., particularly with Cerberus trying to convince U.S. taxpayers to bail it out of its investment in Chrysler, it’s no stretch to imagine Beijing getting a little less excited about private equity than it was earlier in the year.

Deals of the day:

* Fayrewood, a British computer parts distributor, said it agreed to be acquired by privately held Letchworth Investments Ltd for about 29.3 million pounds ($43.4 million) in cash.

* Media Square said it agreed to sell part of its Illuminas marketing research consultancy business to market research company IQ Holdings for an initial 750,000 pounds ($1.1 million) in cash and shares worth 250,000 pounds.

* Avarae Global Coins, a UK-based company which invests in rare coins, said Equity Partnership Investment Company had bought about 14.3 million shares, representing 13.85 percent of voting rights in Avarae.

(Photo Credit: Reuters)

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 China shuts PE door on Greenberg at vixtrade.com