Swiss-born psychiatrist Elisabeth Kübler-Ross’ five stages of grief is a core component of modern psychoanalysis and used to help people deal with tragedies. But do they apply to investors? Very much so, according to Diane Garnick, investment strateg
Daily Archives: March 9, 2009
The American Economy: What the Jobs, Housing Numbers Really Mean
We all know the economy is bad and it’s a terrible time for workers and homeowners, with a direct connection between the two. There’s a lot of talk about the being the
There’s a Long Way to Go Before the Bottom, Invesco’s Garnick Says
U.S. stocks moved modestly higher early Monday, overcoming big declines in Asian markets and Warren Buffett’s dour comments in an extended appearance on CNBC this morning. The early action, aided perhaps by another big merger in big pharma, is encouraging
Dow 5000, Revisited
From The Business Insider, March 9, 2009: Wall Street is now talking openly about the possibility of the DOW dropping to 5,000 and the S&P 500 to 400-500. This is actually good news. …
Pushing Drugs
The drums of consolidation in Big Pharma were beating loudly after Pfizer bid for Wyeth in January. And as Merck and Schering-Plough were already teamed up on key drugs, the deal they announced this morning was hardly a shock. Though analysts said the pact has lots of logic to sell it — the companies are practically neighbors in New Jersey — the market is playing defense, so any excitement about Monday merger mania was quickly quashed as the economic Thorazine kicked in.
Long the preferred defensive play in a downturn, Big Pharma has been suffering along with the rest of the market as investors unwind the bull-market era and dump stocks for treasuries in the face of the biggest surge of new government debt issuance in living memory. Plus, consider that just last week the Obama administration was marshaling the president’s executive might to make good on a campaign pledge to tackle soaring health-care costs. Considering the environment, the strength of logic might not be enough to cast the Merck/Schering-Plough deal as anything other than a defensive necessity.
Shareholders are acting defensively as well. Merck shares were retreating in premarket trade, indicating a lack of confidence that the synergies of the merger will overcome what ails Wall Street.
Deals of the Day:
* Iceland’s financial watchdog said it had taken over investment bank Straumur Burdaras <STRB.IC>, the last major Icelandic bank left standing after the country’s financial collapse in October.
* Four global spirits makers, including Diageo, have shown interest in acquiring stake in India’s United Spirits, the world’s third-largest spirits maker, the Times of India said on Monday, quoting agencies.
* Swiss logistics group Kuehne & Nagel has agreed to buy J. Martens Holding AS, a Norwegian service provider to the oil and gas industry, it said.
* India’s Satyam Computer Services said it was commencing a competitive bidding process to select an investor to acquire 51 percent stake in the fraud-tainted outsourcer.
(PHOTO: A general view shows a logo on the Merck facility in Rahway, New Jersey November 28, 2005. REUTERS/Jeff Zelevansky)