With its slumping economy, mountains of debt, ungodly deficits and overseas entanglements, many observers believe the end of the American era is at hand.Not so, according to George Friedman, founder of STRATFOR, a global intelligence company.In his latest
Monthly Archives: April 2009
Chrysler-UAW Embrace in Effort to Avoid Bankruptcy: Up Next, GM
Chrysler has reached separate deals with the UAW and its bondholders that may help the automaker avoid bankruptcy, although the White House won’t rule out that outcome. …
Hulu’s Jason Kilar on That “Free” Super Bowl Ad and iPhone Application Rumors
Remember back in 2000 when the Super Bowl was littered with dot com ads? Well
the bubble burst and most everyone learned a valuable lesson: Startups should
spend their millions on building businesses instead.So it was a bit of a
shock when online vi
Mad Scramble to Spin Today’s Stress Test Leak
From The Business Insider, April 28, 2009: It’s not good news that Bank of America (BAC) and Citigroup (C) have
been told to raise more capital following the completion of the Fed’s
stress tests. …
Why Hulu’s Business Model May Have a Leg Up on YouTube and TV
Unlike the prevailing Web 2.0 practice of
build-a-product-users-love-first-and-monetize-later, Hulu CEO Jason Kilar has
always said the users are just one of the three “customers” Hulu serves. The other two are the networks that give Hulu
More Green Shoots: Housing, Confidence Data Boost Stocks
Overcoming fears of a swine flu pandemic and the government telling Bank of America and Citigroup to raise more capital, stocks were marginally higher midday Tuesday. The turnaround from early weakness was spurred, in large part, by another round of bett
Hulu’s CEO Laughs Off Blog Talk, Revels in Success of Its “Disruptive Business”
When online video site Hulu was announced in 2007, it didn’t even have a name, let alone a product. It was merely an idea for a joint venture between NBC and Fox — two traditional media companies that didn’t want to see YouTube do to the
Tech and the Recession: Is the Worst Over?
Tech earnings were mixed last week, with Apple delighting Wall Street with
strong results and Microsoft posting its first year-over-year drop in revenue. But you can say this much: There weren’t many bad surprises for investors. …
Barney Frank says “no right answer” to Merrill sale problem
Barney Frank indicated he isn’t as disturbed as some other lawmakers by revelations about the pressure that was brought to bear on Bank of America CEO Kenneth Lewis to complete the takeover of Merrill Lynch in the face of indications that Merrill’s financial position had deteriorated dramatically. Frank told the Reuters Global Financial Regulation Summit in Washington that “there was no right answer” over whether the government should have intervened to make sure the deal was done.
Last week, senior Republican Senator Richard Shelby joined House Democrats in seeking more details after New York’s attorney general said Lewis had testified he was pressured by former Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson and Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke to do the merger, or lose his job. Shelby even brought up the question of possible securities fraud over the controversy.
Frank, who is the powerful chairman of the U.S. House of Representatives Financial Services Committee, said that while there may be some disclosure problems over Bank of America’s failure to keep investors informed he didn’t believe it was as simple as saying that Paulson and Bernanke shouldn’t have intervened. If they had allowed Merrill to fail it could have led to disaster, said Frank, who had a less combative and brusque manner than he is sometimes known for in today’s 50-minute Q&A with the Reuters news team.
Frank’s way to avoid such problems in the future is to create an authority that can seize and unwind large institutions that are failing and creating systemic risk for the entire financial system.
Universal Banking questioned
(From Acquisitions Monthly)
The coming financial services new world order could unleash a wave of mergers and acquisitions as providers look to thrive under a regime of tighter regulation and diminished risk appetite. As such, the IBM Institute for Business Value calls into question some of the ideological shibboleths still held by many senior banking executives.
Whilst banks such as Citigroup, UBS and the UK’s Barclays cling to the notion of universal banking – effectively one stop shops – research by IBM argues that this particular model may not be fit for purpose anymore. The days of soaring profits from what it calls “pockets of opacity” such as over the counter derivatives are over.
“Some of the largest institutions may be required to downsize or dispose of business lines,” says IBM. It predicts that outperformers will become much more specialist and aligned with their customers’ needs. Many universal banks were found to be more self-serving in outlook. “On average the specialists have seen their revenues grow 30 percent more than the universal banks and enjoy operating margins of 25 percent compared with the 16 percent universal banks command,” says the IBM Institute.
It sees the industry splitting into three segments: The first are utilities providing infrastructure to facilitate capital allocation and relying on economies of scale to drive down costs. The second are those that give advice such as wealth management firms and boutique M&A advisors. The last category, are those geared to investment outperformance such as private equity groups and hedge funds. Barclays for example might inadvertently be contributing to this trend with its disposal of passive fund manager, iShares for 3 billion pounds ($4.3 billion).
Basically the IBM Institute is suggesting there could be more disposals to come from the universal banks as the market forces them to streamline or investors seeking higher returns demand it.
Banks such as Barclays also face growing competition in retail banking with the likes of giant retailer, Tesco, planning their own banks. Their offerings threaten to be much more customer-centric and this will force the traditional banks to rethink their approach and as IBM predicts, possibly to specialise.
Reporting by Justin Pugsley, Acquisitions Monthly
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Deals of the Day:
* German insurer Allianz and U.S. credit card group American Express raised a combined $1.9 billion on Tuesday through the sale of share’s in Chinese banking giant ICBC.
* Japan’s Toshiba said it would set up a joint venture with U.S.’s Amkor Technology and Japan’s Nakaya Microdevices in October to assemble system chips. Toshiba, Japan’s biggest chipmaker, said the outsourcing move would help improve earnings in its battered chip business.
* Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group has agreed to buy Citi’s Japanese retail brokerage and part of its investment banking operations here for more than $5.2 billion, sources said
* Qatar is in talks to buy a stake in Germany’s Porsche and may also invest in other carmakers as the Gulf gas exporter looks to park some of its sovereign wealth abroad, according to media reports.
* German Economy Minister Karl-Theodor zu Guttenberg is meeting senior representatives of Magna to discuss a possible investment by the car parts supplier in Opel, a unit of General Motors.
* Consumer goods exporter Li & Fung, which manages supply chains for retailers such as Wal-Mart and Target, expects to sign more outsourcing deals within months as cash-strapped retailers in the United States look to cut costs in the economic downturn.
(PHOTO: Flags fly outside the Citigroup headquarters in New York, November 24, 2008. REUTERS/Brendan McDermid)
Are the Press and Investors Overreacting to Swine Flu Fears?
Last week, when we first got word of the Swine Flu epidemic coming out of
Mexico, the Web went nuts. There were thousands of blog posts and exponentially
more Twitters about the health threat—and not all of it was good information.
The counter
Lewis & Thain & Geithner, Oh My! Wall Street Drama Heats Up
This Wednesday brings two events with big implications in normal times: the Bank of America shareholders’ meeting and the conclusion of the FOMC’s two-day confab.Of course, these are not normal times, particularly for Bank of America, whose shareholder me