Takeover Panel sets Cadbury clock ticking for Kraft

cadbury21.thumbnail Takeover Panel sets Cadbury clock ticking for Kraft at vixtrade.comSo Cadbury has succeeded in convincing the UK’s Takeover Panel — the City of London body which polices M&A — to slap a “put up or shut up” order on Kraft.

Kraft now has until Nov. 9 to decide whether to make a formal offer for the British confectionery group. If it decides to walk away, it is not allowed back for six months.

Cadbury shares are still trading above the price of Kraft’s informal stock and cash offer. At just over 8 pounds per share, the current price is some 10 percent above the indicative offer, which is now worth just 7.20 pounds. But shareholders in Cadbury — which is a household favourite in the UK — aren’t being that ambitious in their expectations for an improved offer. The shares are trading at nowhere near the multiples which were initially bandied about after Kraft’s approach became public.

And despite noises about Kraft finding it difficult to raise the money it needs for the 11 billion pound bid – of which some 4.1 billion pounds would be in cash — bankers seem to think there won’t be any problem getting lenders to make the necessary loans.

The real question is how far Kraft shareholders are willing to let CEO Irene Rosenfeld stretch to get her hands on Cadbury’s famous chocolate and chewing gum brands.  Kraft stock fell another 1 percent following the Takeover Panel ruling, having dropped around $2 from above $19 to $17.6 since it went public with its approach to Cadbury.

Cadbury, which has rejected the approach, will be hoping that based on the performance of Kraft shares, Rosenfeld will be kept on a fairly tight leash.

 Takeover Panel sets Cadbury clock ticking for Kraft at vixtrade.com  Takeover Panel sets Cadbury clock ticking for Kraft at vixtrade.com  Takeover Panel sets Cadbury clock ticking for Kraft at vixtrade.com

 Takeover Panel sets Cadbury clock ticking for Kraft at vixtrade.com

Zombie companies

zombie Zombie companies at vixtrade.comIn zombie films, the dead walk the earth and slowly annihilate the living. Such a frightening prospect may be in store for Europe, the Reuters Restructuring Summit was told.

Banks are one of the big problems, speakers said, as they are unwilling to take the size of write-downs necessary to cut firms’ debts down to a manageable size.

Firms owned by private equity, particularly the number two or three in their sector, are particularly at risk of becoming zombie companies because of their high debt levels and the lack of interest in such firms from equity investors, Simon Parry-Wingfield of Morgan Stanley said.

This may offer opportunities for distressed M&A, he said.

“The corporate world is beginning to see an opportunity … to pick up middle-market companies or sponsored companies which are stuck in a zombie world because of their balance sheets,” he said.

Those firms unable to attract new buyers or investors will be forced back into restructuring talks with lenders, he said, but their long-term future may not be bright.

“People are putting off the problem and the longer it takes to address operational issues, the harder and more expensive it is to fix them,” he said.

 Zombie companies at vixtrade.com  Zombie companies at vixtrade.com  Zombie companies at vixtrade.com

 Zombie companies at vixtrade.com

Time for Kraftiness

 Time for Kraftiness at vixtrade.comIt’s official. Kraft has until Nov. 9 to say whether it will make an offer for Cadbury. If it doesn’t, it had to back off for six months. In the three weeks since Cadbury turned up its nose at Kraft’s $16.3 billion cash-and-share offer. In that time, price talk has centered on how much Kraft will, or is able, to raise that bid by.

Rhys Jones reports that analysts see compelling logic to a potential deal adding Cadbury’s high-growth emerging market business to Kraft’s wide-ranging distribution system, with few overlaps that would prompt competition concerns.

Cadbury reiterated its rejection of Kraft’s approach, but with other potential suitors so far mum, chief executive Todd Stitzer may have to settle for whatever Kraft comes up with. The market has taken the stock up to 800 pence, about 7 percent above the offer price for the share component. And if Kraft CEO Irene Rosenfeld (pictured above) wants to keep her own shareholders – including Warren Buffett – happy, she will be sure to contain any impulse to aggressively sweeten the deal.

 Time for Kraftiness at vixtrade.com  Time for Kraftiness at vixtrade.com  Time for Kraftiness at vixtrade.com

 Time for Kraftiness at vixtrade.com

Deals du Jour

French food group Danone has agreed to sell its 51 percent stake in its joint ventures with China’s Wahaha group, putting an end to legal proceedings related to the disputes between the two. In 2007, Danone accused Wahaha of illegally setting up parallel business outside their ventures. 

McGraw-Hill Cos is leaning toward selling its money-losing BusinessWeek magazine to Bloomberg LP, a person familiar with the matter tells Reuters. Bloomberg Markets, a financial news magazine that produces feature stories, and the 80-year-old BusinessWeek could be blended to make a title that would expand Bloomberg’s presence beyond its financial data clients and reach a mainstream audience.

For more on these stories and the rest of the latest deals news from Reuters, click here .

In M&A news from Wednesday’s newspapers:

Russian state bank VEB may get a stake in the troubled carmaker AvtoVAZ (AVAZ.MM) by acquiring an issue of its infrastructure bonds and converting them into equity, Kommersant business daily reports.

U.S. investment company Starwood Capital  is attempting to gain control of lodging chain Extended Stay Inc, the Wall Street Journal reports, citing people familiar with the matter.

Private equity firms Carlyle Group and 3i (III.L) are among those holding preliminary discussions to take a minority stake in India’s Strides Arcolab’s (STAR.BO) injectables business, the Economic Times reported, citing banking sources.

 Deals du Jour at vixtrade.com  Deals du Jour at vixtrade.com  Deals du Jour at vixtrade.com

 Deals du Jour at vixtrade.com