The afternoon deal: The next deal

pokerThe deals are back, or at least recovering from last year’s depressed levels, but where will the deals and dealmakers come from next? According to these Reuters stories published in just the last two weeks, the wheeling and dealing looks widespread over both sectors and regions.

Deal Hotspots:

Mining M&A expected to pick up pace this year

Air security firms likely to boost sales, deals

HMO deals seen heating up, but reform a wildcard

US staffing sector set for year of M&A

Private equity takes aim at freight logistics

Small US defense firms back on M&A radar

Online gamers set for consolidation wave in 2010

Market strength tempts India back into M&A fray

Tech turns to security for next wave of dealmaking

Buyout funds see Indonesia as next Asia stop for deals

Foreign banks again hear the call of China

Keeping score: Energy M&A doubles, Asia leads IPOs

Highlights from this week’s Thomson Reuters Investment Banking Scorecard:

” ENERGY & POWER M&A MORE THAN DOUBLES
The proposed acquisition of Allegheny Energy by Ohio-based electric utility First Energy Corp, in a transaction valued at $8.9 billion, brings the volume of mergers in the energy & power sector to $50.4 billion, more than double the volume of announced deals in the sector last year at this time.
Deal activity in the oil & gas and power sub-sectors account for nearly 88% of activity in the sector this year.  Targets in the United States account for 52% of activity this year, with Brazil and France accounting for 19% and 12%, respectively.

“ASIA PACIFIC DRIVES 66% OF IPO ACTIVITY
Global initial public offerings total $15.9 billion for year-to-date 2010, a marked increase over the first six weeks of 2009.  Asia Pacific issuers account for 66% of overall IPO activity, bolstered by nearly $9.2 billion in new listings from Chinese companies.
Offerings from the materials, financials, energy & power, and high technology sectors comprise 70% of total IPO volume this year.

“PRIVATE EQUITY BACKS 11% OF EUROPEAN M&A
Private equity-backed M&A in Europe totals $4.2 billion for year-to-date 2010, accounting for 11% of total European M&A activity and 55% of worldwide private equity-backed transactions.  The $1.5 billion buyout of UK-based retailer Pets at Home by KKR ranks as the largest private equity deal this year.
The volume of European mergers and acquisitions totals $36.7 billion for year-to-date 2010, a 10% decrease from last time this year and the slowest start for European dealmaking since 2002.”

Brazil exchange operator beefing up with CME stake

BM&FBovespa, the world’s third-largest exchange operator by market value, aims to raise its stake in CME Group to 5 percent, making it among the top three shareholders in the fast-moving market maker. Given Brazil’s huge presence in global commodities markets, it’s not hard to see why the country’s main exchange would want to increase its exposure to the top U.S. commodities trading entity. BM&FBovespa said it will invest $175 million over 10 years in a new trading platform with CME. But shares in CME, the world’s largest exchange operator by market cap, fell in early trading, although they later recovered to rise moderately. Hardly the reaction one would expect on news that a hungry, strategic buyer is more than doubling its stake.

It is possible regulatory concerns weighed on the stock. Cross border mergers that include potential technology transfer are natural fodder for antitrust boffins. But Bovespa is likely in for the long haul, as it has more to gain from taking a position in CME than the other biggest shareholders, Blackrock and Fidelity.

As far as the timing goes, CME which already has a 5 percent stake in BM&FBovespa, said only a couple days ago it would buy the bulk of Dow Indexes, showing it is not afraid of moving on big-name deals. The stock is nearly 20 percent down from a year high hit in early January, possibly underscoring the case for Bovespa to move at bargain prices.

The companies also agreed to develop new technologies for high-speed trading platforms for stocks, derivatives, currencies, and government and corporate bonds. What exactly Brazil brings to the development table is not immediately clear. More likely, it hopes to leverage big bags of commodities trading. It has seen a boom in trading volumes since it began offering in August 2008 direct market access for investors looking to implement algorithmic and high-frequency strategies. So for Bovespa, as well as its trading clients, timing is everything.