After the Fed reiterated its pledge to keep benchmark interest rates near zero for an “extended period” on Wednesday, some market watchers wonder: when will the easy-money end? Our guest Charles Ortel, managing partner at Newport Value Partners,
Monthly Archives: April 2010
War on Capitalism, Round 2: Goldman Hearing an “Argument to Short Treasuries,” Ortel Says
Last July, Charles Ortel, managing partner at Newport Value Partners, declared the Obama administration is “waging a war on capitalism.”Since then, the stock market has rallied dramatically, GDP has turned positive and signs of job growth are st
Big Fat Greek Bailout Just a “Band-Aid,” Ortel Says: “Default May Make a Lot More Sense”
All was relatively quiet on the European front Thursday after a few days of near panic over S&P’s downgrades of Greece, Portugal and Spain. As the IMF and EU negotiated an aid package for Greece reportedly as large as $180 billion, the euro rallied an
HP buys Palm — who cares?
HP’s deal to buy Palm underlines the keenness of PC vendors to jump into the booming smartphone game, but will likely have very little impact on the smartphone market. HP has agreed to pay $1.2 billion for loss-making Palm, best known in recent years as the investment target of U2 lead singer Bono. The firm only sold 2.4 million smartphones in the last 12-month period, giving it just over 1 percent of the market.
In the last few years all top PC vendors — including Acer, Lenovo and Dell — have rushed to the surging smartphone market hoping to boost profits. So far only Apple has succeeded, and it has taken over two years for it to build up global phone distribution.
Top smartphone vendors Nokia, RIM and Apple boast much higher profit margins than PC vendors. HP’s gross margin for its most recent quarter was 22.8 percent, just half Research in Motion’s 45.7 percent margin, while Apple’s was 41.7 percent.
Helped by new features and cheaper prices the smartphone market grew through the recession, and is expected to jump a further 46 percent this year, according to researcher Gartner.
Analysts said the HP-Palm deal will likely have little impact on the global smartphone market any time soon, with vendors strong in the United States set to feel some pressure. “Does this change anything in the short term? I don’t think so,” said Carolina Milanesi from research firm Gartner. Ben Wood, research director at CCS Insight, agreed. “I don’t think big phone manufacturers will be losing any sleep over this. We’re pretty sure they all did due diligence on Palm and decided they did not need the assets,” he said.
Analysis said the deal was set to worry HP’s closest rivals — Dell, Toshiba, Lenovo and others — who all aim to have a stake in the 1.2-billion-unit mobile phone market, especially with demand for handsets with PC-like features growing.
Palm’s crown jewel webOs platform — which has failed to impress the buying public — will controversially give HP an edge over rivals using software from Google or Microsoft. “They are more in control of their own fate,” said Gartner’s Milanesi. Own software gives HP the opportunity to differentiate from rivals and potentially get better margins.
HP’s production and sales network are crucial for Palm, which has been too niche a vendor against much larger rivals in the industry, where scale is crucial in driving down costs. Palm last reported an annual profit for the fiscal year ending May 2007, and only 408,000 Palm phones were sold to consumers in the February quarter. This compares to Nokia’s quarterly volumes of around 20 million smartphones, with RIM and Apple selling around 10 million smartphones.
Profits Soar, But Chinese Banks Face Massive Capital Shortfall
From The Business Insider, April 29, 2010 A massive lending binge over the past couple of years has left major Chinese banks undercapitalized according to a new report from Caing, which has gone through the latest financial reports. …
Four Companies That Might Be on Warren Buffett’s Shopping List
As many as 50,000 adoring fans will descend on Omaha, Nebraska this weekend to hear Warren Buffett’s words of wisdom at Berkshire Hathaway’s annual shareholder meeting. Each year, Buffett and Vice Chairman Charlie Munger dedicate hours of the
HP Agrees To Buy Palm For $1.2 Billion
From PaidContent.org, April 28, 2010After all the speculation, HP has agreed to buy Palm (NSDQ: PALM) for $1.2 billion, or roughly $5.70 a share. (Here’s the release.)Palm, which was running short of cash and struggling to compete against the Apple’s and
Geithner In the Crosshairs? Criminal Charges on Table for AIG Cover-up, TARP Watchdog Says
From The Business Insider, April 28, 2010 Neil Barofsky, The Special Inspector General for TARP oversight, better known as SIGTARP, says criminal or civil charges are still on the table in the AIG cover-up, according to a long profile at Bloomberg. …
DealZone Daily
Hewlett-Packard announces a $1.2 billion deal to buy Palm Inc. The deal is a bet that HP can resuscitate the struggling smartphone maker to compete with the likes of Apple and RIM. Reuters story here.
Germany’s E.ON is selling its Kentucky-based unit to U.S. peer PPL for $6.7 billion in cash. It’s the largest deal in the power sector in the last two and a half years.
And late yesterday, Algeria said it would block a key part of MTN’s $9 billion bid for Egypt’s Orascom Telecom. Naguib Sawiris, the Egyptian billionaire who heads Orascom, says he wants to meet Algerian officials to discuss their concerns.
Read all Reuters stories on deals here. And in other media:
Utair, Russia’s fourth-largest carrier, has been put up for sale and German airline Lufthansa is named among the potentials buyers, Russian business daily Kommersant says.
Canadian pension fund Ontario Municipal Employees Retirement System (OMERS) has emerged as favourite to buy port and shipping agent Inchcape Shipping Services (ISS), the Financial Times reports.
India’s Tata Group is forming a joint venture with private equity firm Actis that could invest about $2 billion over five years in building roads, The Economic Times newspaper says.
Economics 101: Peter Schiff Explains “Why We’re in Such a Mess”
The financial crisis is “far from over,” according to Peter Schiff of Euro Pacific Capital, as detailed here.Along with his brother Andrew, Schiff has written a new book,
Why is Warren Buffett Trying to Block Regulation Reform?
A mini-scandal broke out in recent days when the world learned that Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway has been lobbying to block one aspect of proposed financial reform — the rules pertaining to existing derivative contracts. …
Now Let’s Hold Hearings Into the People REALLY Responsible For The Crisis
From The Business Insider, April 28, 2010 The Senate panel did a good job grinding up Goldman Sachs execs into hamburger meat yesterday. And the 10 hours of live TV coverage certainly made for good entertainment.(Of course, as illustrated by Goldman Sachs
