www.guerillastocktrading.com (CLICK HERE FOR THE COMPLETE LESSON) The most popular volatility breakout indicator is the Bollinger Bands and it can be used to predict monster moves that can make you rich.
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Category Archives: Vix Trading
Trend Commandments: Trading for Exceptional Returns
Trend Commandments: Trading for Exceptional Returns
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Do you ever think the stories you hear about great trading, and the gains produced, sound like luck? Do you ever wonder if there is a real method and philosophy behind the success stories? The concepts condensed into Trend Commandments were gleaned from Michael Covel's 15 years of pulling back the curtain on great trend following traders. It is a one of a kind money making experience that forever lays to rest the notion that successful trading is akin to winning the lottery. Winning has a formula, as does losing. Covel nails both head on. Getting rich is a fight; make no mistake about it, but at least now with Trend Commandments you have a primer that allows you to crack the code of the winners.
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Volatilty Spikes Tuesday on Greek Bank Concerns
Despite The Positive Surprise News That Greece would pay on some Government bonds that were thought to default ; The late news that withdrawals from Greek banks by locals was accelerating heightened fears that the nightmare scenario of a euro wide “get it out before its worthless” run on the banks could be in early days.The Vix has held support above 20 now for some time;and gapped further up towards the NYSE close
The Blowup of the TVIX. What happened to this Bad ETF ?
The meltdown of the Velocity Shares Daily 2x VIX Short Term ETN which is more commonly referred to by its symbol,TVIX was quite the spectacle last week.The TVIX has been trading at a premium ever since Credit Suisse (CS) stopped creating new units last month due to internal size limits which caused a massive variance between the market price and IIV (the ETP equivalent of NAV)–it just blew up.
Any exchange traded product can have some sort of problem like trading at a discount or premium to its IIV but this is rarer with traditional stock and bond ETFs, and when it has happened with traditional ETFs it has lasted only a short time,as buyers tend to accumulate ETFs selling at less than NAV. But make no mistake gaps can exist for months or years between NAV and share price of closed end funds.Even now; many funds containing anything related to mortgages sell at a discount ;the hangover from the 2008 crash and the flash crash .As well “trendy” ETFs [think "cloud", "social media"] ETFs can sell above NAV .
On Thursday the TVIX plunged 29% for no reason that was immediately obvious during the regular session to the average investor. Traders expected it to tag along with the up move in the underlying VIX today: Stocks were falling and traders’ demand for hedges was on the rise.
Fast forward to around 7:30 p.m. tonight, when Credit Suisse announced that it would reopen issuance of the product on a “limited” basis. The reopening is the event that triggered a plunge in the ETN’s value. The release included a warning that reopening could cause the premium in TVIX to evaporate, and that it would be tough to predict how the product will trade. Did Someone Know about the 7:30 announcement during the Thursday trading session; and bail out or short it on inside information?
Or is it that the trading community believes that they will be able to create these shares again in the near future, and if that’s the case then that’s why they are shorting it now in anticipation.
It sure seems to be a lot harder than you would think to craft a product that will accurately track and underlying index.Recall there have been strange action in the OIH, UNG and several others since 2008 .
Jim Cramer and Herb Greenberg notably have been outspoken critics of many leveraged ETF going so far as to name them as a contributing and facilitating factor in the market crash as traders short the index down forcing the underlying elements of the etf down in a “tail wags the dog” fashion.
But this is different ! the VIX goes up TVIX goes down the VIX goes down the TVIX goes down .Heads you lose tails you lose.
In the meantime, if there’s a lesson for investors here, it’s that once creation units of a given ETF or ETN are suspended, there is really no telling how the product will trade from that point forward. The value becomes a black box of sorts. It is probably wise to avoid such products until their odd and unpredictable supply-demand dynamics are worked out.
Volatility Index (VIX) You’ve Never Heard Of Will Probably Save Your Life
www.guerillastocktrading.com The VIX index saved me from losing my shirt this week. This is an update to my video last week where I broke the news that the VIX is in an uptrend. I talked about the two ways to play the market when the VIX is uptrending 1 – Go cash, or 2 – Go short. In this video I give do Fibonacci retracements on the Dow, S&P 500, and Nasdaq and give you some short term target support levels to watch. If you missed my video last week where I first identified the VIX as being in an uptrend and how you can track the VIX using Yahoo Finance, you need to watch it at: www.youtube.com
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Stock Market Tutorial Vix And Shorting Stocks
www.guerillastocktrading.com Discover what the Vix index is and learn how to use it when shorting stocks. In this stock market tutorial, Lance shows you how to pull up the Vix index even when using Yahoo Finance. Look over Lance’s shoulder as he shows you a simple method for determining the trend of the Vix.
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VIX Fear Index
www.CandlestickForums.com – VIX Fear Index The so called VIX fear index is in the news as the volume of put contracts on the Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE) Volatility Index rose to a level of three puts on each call contract. The CBOE Volatility Index itself is a measure of market expectation of coming price movement of the S&P 500 over the coming 30 days. It uses a weighted measure of the prices of puts and calls in the S&P index as its base. The costs of buying puts and buying calls go up with expectation of market volatility and down when traders expect a more tranquil market. When the VIX fear index is high it is indicative of a volatile market. However, an extremely high VIX has often been seen before a market rally extending over a year. Thus the VIX fear factor is not always a fear factor and can be an indicator of better times for the stock market. Since 2006 it has been possible to trade options on the VIX itself. Options traders expecting to see the VIX fall are the ones buying puts on the so called fear index itself. Traders can trade the VIX directly but stock traders more commonly use the VIX fear index as a guide in helping predict market trends or a market correction. Traders using Candlestick analysis for technical analysis of stocks can use the so called VIX fear index as an adjunct to understanding and predicting changes in market sentiment. When the VIX fear index peaked recently, traders, expecting a fall from historic highs, bought puts on the …
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VIX Index Bullish Reversal Pattern
www.StockMarketFunding.com VIX Index Bullish Reversal Pattern. The S&P 500 index fear indicator moved higher to close the month of October. Stocks have traded higher for the month and markets sold off to close out the month. Watch this live stock market video on the recent trends in the (VIX.X). Please like, share, subscribe & comment! Video RSS Feed http Free Trial Signup onlinetradinginvesting.eventbrite.com Trading Community (Free to Join) http Google +1 tiny.cc Follow us on Twitter: www.twitter.com Follow us on Facebook: www.facebook.com Tags VIX Market Trading Business Stocks News Politics Educational Analysis Bear Finance Economy Technical Trade Investment Options “stock market video” “live stock market” “stock market” “stock trading” “online trading” chart charts trend trends commentary
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Understanding How to Trade the VIX Fear Indicator
www.StockMarketFunding.com Understanding How to Trade the VIX Fear Indicator. Live stock market trading video on how to trade the S&P 500 Index Volatility Index the CBOE Volaility VIX Index. How to Identify Market Bottoms During Massive Market Selling Japan Nuclear Crisis Sparks Massive…
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“S&P 500 Chart” -VIX S&P 500 Index Chart ^VIX – CBOE Volatility Index
www.stockmarketfunding.com “S&P 500 Chart” Technical Analysis of Monthly Charts and Trend Analysis of the Current Volatility Index Readings. Stock Trading Commentary of the current “stock market situation” and how you can trade it. VIX S&P 500 Index Chart ^VIX – CBOE Volatility Index. Free Stock Market Online Trading Education Video Course Lesson How Understanding the VIX.X, VIX, $VIX, $VIX.X
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How to use The VIX index to call The Dow Jones March 2009 bottom
Find out why now may be the best time to buy the DOW 30 on Feb 23 2009 read the comments for the historic log of events as they happened after this video was produced on Feb 23 2009 This video was made and uploaded to youtube feb 26 2009 predicting the Great dow jones bottom
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CAUTION: HEDGE OR FRY! — PM’S VS STOCKS!
investwithanedge.com You can, if you think you can! Vincent Peale www.youtube.com The VIX index has jumped 32% in the last two days, the highest 2-day jump since last year’s May 6th flash crash, due primarily to the turmoil in oil-rich Libya and the subsequent spike in the price of oil. The VIX closed at 22.13 Feb 23rd, reaching its highest level since Nov. 30. The VIX measures the cost of insuring against declines in the S&P 500 using options. The volatility, or “fear” index, had settled down considerably in the last 3 months, trading mostly between 16 and 18 and not above 17 since February 2nd. Between July 2nd and Feb 17th, The S&P 500 surged 28% and an options-market indicator known as “30-day realized volatility” fell below 10 on Feb 15th, a combination, according to Bloomberg, that has not seen since 1971. Price swings are a key driver of options prices.
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